Tuesday, May 3, 2011

03/05 News Analysis: Terrorism far from over with Bin Laden demise

English.news.cn 2011-05-03 06:51:20

Special Report: Osama Bin Laden Killed in U.S. Operation

Video >> Profile of Osama Bin Laden

Osama bin-Laden is seen addressing a news conference in Afghanistan in this May 26, 1998 file photo.(Xinhua/Reuters Photo)

BRUSSELS, May 2 (Xinhua) -- The abrupt killing of the world's top terrorist may be a psychological blow to his empire, the highly decentralized group is far from dead, observers here said, warning it is very likely al Qaeda will get a boost from the jobless young people with dampened spirit for a normal life across part of the Islamic world.

NO BIG OPTIMISM

"Obviously, there is a certain degree of satisfaction because, in terms of terrorism, he was the number one enemy," said Antonio Panzeri, Member of the European Parliament and Chair of the Delegation for relations with Maghreb countries.

"However, this event doesn't mean we have defeated terrorism," Panzeri told Xinhua.

According to him, the satisfaction is accompanied by a feeling of worry: there could be a response from some al Qaeda terrorist cells, which are now spread all over the planet.

"We must remain extremely watchful and vigilant," he warned. Josef Janning, Director of Studies of the European Policy Centre ( EPC), believed death of Osama Bin Laden could offer a temporary relief.

For him, the killing of the al Qaeda boss has proved that no perpetrator of terrorist acts could hide from an international hunt however strong was his local penetration.

"There is probably no safe haven for known and active terrorists," said Janning, an expert on situations in the Middle East.

DECENTRALIZED OPERATION IN AL QAEDA

Nevertheless, the de facto decapitation of al Qaeda doesn't necessarily mean the its network would be paralyzed, Janning said.

Al Qaeda had been forced over the past years to become increasingly decentralized, which means much less a large scale coordination of terrorist activity could be seen.

Apparently the network is not dependent of the existence of an active central leadership, said Janning.

The top priority for Bin Laden in the past decade had been to remain invisible. He determined the appointment of some key figures in the terror network, but rarely led any concrete attacks.

The group has developed a robust capacity to grow with huge influence on sympathizers, but al Qaeda has also been picky to affiliate anyone.

The local branches of the group usually operate separately, but are willing to listen to the same voices.

Therefore, Janning said there is an element of discouragement, a symbolic figure is death. But its cells across large part of the Islamic world are not.

"It is a big mistake to believe that with the death of Osama Bin Laden, the potential for terrorist activities has gone," said Janning.

JOB OR TERROR

Janning believed there is a wound hard to cure across North Africa and the Middle East, that is, an enormously large number of young people have fairly poor economic perspective.

"You can elect whatever government you want in Egypt, they will not be able in the short term to provide for jobs, " he said.

The young people simply need jobs which "would allow them to settle down, establish a family, and basically realize what they want in life," he added.

According to Janning, the very uncertain economic perspective will certainly frustrate a lot of people and among those frustrated, a percentage will, Bin Laden dead or alive, sell their souls to terror.

Related:

UN Secretary-General, Security Council welcome death of bin Laden

UNITED NATIONS, May 2 (Xinhua) -- Both the chief executive and the top legislative body of the United Nations on Monday welcomed the death of al-Qaeda founder and leader Osama bin Laden, regarded by many as a symbol of international terrorism.

UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-Moon said bin Laden's death was "a watershed moment in our common global fight against terrorism." Full story

Osama bin Laden killed in Pakistan

ABBOTTABAD, Pakistan, May 2 (Xinhua) -- Al-Qaida chief Osama bin Laden was killed in a pre-dawn U.S. special force raid on his compound in Pakistani city of Abbottabad near the capital Islamabad, Pakistani Foreign Ministry said Monday.

The Foreign Ministry confirmation came shortly after U.S. President Barrack Obama declared the Al-Qaida chief dead. Full story

China says Bin Laden's death "milestone" for int'l anti-terrorism efforts

BEIJING, May 2 (Xinhua) -- China said here Monday evening that the death of Osama bin Laden was a milestone and a positive development for the international anti-terrorism efforts.

Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Jiang Yu made the remarks when asked to comment on the killing of the al-Qaida leader. Full story

Editor: yan
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